Second-quarter earnings got off to a strong start in the US with solid results from big banks, but now markets will be focused on what the technology hyperscalers have to say about both earnings and their spending plans, says Dr. Dirk Steffen, the Private Bank's EMEA CIO.

 

"We're getting closer to 1 trillion, maybe in a year or so, a trillion dollars that will be spent by a handful of companies in terms of capex and tech investments,” Dirk says. “It will be very important to hear what these companies are telling us about what they're planning to do."

 

In the fixed-income space, Dirk notes that a large wave of issuance from big technology firms earmarked for AI spending could be a factor keeping sovereign bond yields elevated. “This is leading to maybe a touch of less demand for sovereigns,” he says, noting that key market participants tend to favour corporate investment-grade bonds over their government counterparts.

 

In the week ahead, a policy decision from the European Central Bank will be interesting to watch, even though it is widely expected that interest rates will remain unchanged. “It will be interesting to see how they judge the current situation, especially in light of the renewed rise in oil prices and what it means for European economies.”

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In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S.

The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.

No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive.

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