The Private Bank just held its quarterly exercise in updating its forecasts for markets and economies, and EMEA CIO Dr. Dirk Steffen says that expectations for stocks remain strong.

 

“The main takeaway from our CIO day was our constructive take longer term on equities, because it's mainly driven by earnings,” Dirk says, though he also notes that “we also focus a lot on risk management because this won't be a straight line up.”

 

In the week ahead, Dirk says he’s going to be watching for US inflation figures, as well as a coming policy decision from the European Central Bank. Regarding the ECB, he thinks the market may be pricing in more rate rises in the coming 12 months than are likely to take place.

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In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S.

The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.

No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive.

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