Rising international wealth and greater mobility among ultra‑high‑net‑worth individuals and families continue to support demand across Southern European real estate markets. Within this landscape, Italy stands out for its combination of resilient pricing and strong lifestyle appeal across prime locations steeped in history and glamour. Saydam Salaheddin, Global Head of Real Estate Lending, and Milan-based lending specialist Marco Guario, share their perspectives – and where some of the most compelling potential opportunities lie.
Global wealth is becoming increasingly mobile, and private capital continues to grow amid a backdrop of ongoing uncertainty. The number of ultra-high-net-worth (UHNW) individuals – people with a net worth exceeding 30 million US dollars – is currently estimated at 713,626 internationally, up by over 160,000 since 2021, or the equivalent of 89 new UHNWIs every day over the last five years, according to research by Knight Frank[1].
The planet’s centimillionaire and billionaire population is also increasing, reinforcing demand for super-prime, lifestyle-driven real estate markets as families and business founders organise their lives across multiple jurisdictions – seeking security, opportunity, education, healthcare, connectivity, and personal wellbeing.
Italy is increasingly attracting international wealth
Italy is benefiting from this trend. In 2025, the country was expected to attract a net inflow of 3,600 high-net-worth individuals, bringing an estimated net wealth transfer of 20.7 billion US dollars – placing it among the world’s leading destinations for millionaire migration[2]. Between 2021 and 2026, the number of UHNW individuals in Italy increased by nearly 25 percent to more than 15,400. Over the next five years, it is expected to rise by a further eight percent to nearly 17,000[3].
At the policy level, Italy has reinforced its intent to compete for internationally mobile wealth by raising its new-residents flat-tax regime to 300,000 euros for new applicants from 2026.
“Italy is steeped in history. From the Roman Empire to the Renaissance and beyond, the country stands out on the world stage as a hub for creativity and craftsmanship, as well as a benchmark of luxury. It has long been a favoured destination among global jetsetters drawn to its awe-inspiring cities and towns, and breathtaking natural landscapes, not to forget its universally loved food, coffee and wine,” comments Saydam Salaheddin.
According to Milan-based Marco Guario, UHNW interest in Italian luxury real estate is underpinned by a blend of “hard” and “soft” factors.
“It’s a combination of the strength of the country brand and the scarcity of irreplaceable heritage – art, historic cities and lifestyle – alongside structurally strong tourism demand, which also supports trophy assets such as hotels,” he says.
“And in this market backdrop, real estate returns are increasingly driven by income and growth expectations – especially for trophy assets – rather than yield compression.”
Why now for Italian super-prime real estate?
On the “why now”, the signals are strengthening of a recovery that remains selective and concentrated in quality. In 2025, Italy’s commercial real estate (CRE) investment volumes exceeded 12 billion euros (+17 percent year-on-year), with foreign capital accounting for nearly 60 percent[4] – an indicator of renewed confidence, alongside a clear focus on prime assets and value-add strategies. Simultaneously, the residential backdrop has been improving, with national house prices rising for multiple consecutive years.
It’s a combination of the strength of the country brand and the scarcity of irreplaceable heritage – art, historic cities and lifestyle – alongside structurally strong tourism demand, which also supports trophy assets such as hotels.
Marco Guario
Lending Specialist
“It’s not only limited to the traditional real estate sectors – offices in certain districts of Milan and Rome have continued to perform against a favourable policy backdrop,” notes Guario. “The flat-tax regime has supported international relocations, particularly from markets like the UK and the US. And even if the gap is narrowing in major cities such as Milan and Rome, Italy still generally offers a lower cost of living than many European peers,” he says.
“In a period of global instability, that combination of quality, lifestyle and relative value matters. My expectation is that some UHNW clients will re-anchor in Europe, and that some buyers from Asia – and others reassessing the Middle East – may look to Italy, or Southern Europe more broadly, as an alternative to destinations where security has come into question.”
Where are the most compelling opportunities in Italian real estate?
The potential opportunity set in Italy is most compelling where resilient demand meets a structurally constrained supply of truly “premium” product – creating potential to build value through repositioning, upgrading and hands-on operations. In practice, this tends to show up most clearly in three areas: prime and luxury residential in gateway cities and lifestyle markets; hospitality in destinations with strong tourism fundamentals and a disciplined development pipeline; and repositioning and conversion projects, from historic palazzi to office-to-hotel and mixed-use, lifestyle-led schemes.
“In hospitality, we see a broad pipeline – not only in luxury and super-luxury, but also in the 4‑star superior segment,” says Guario. “That part of the market often attracts an affluent, typically foreign clientele, and in many destinations, occupancy ratios are well above 90 percent.
“On the residential side, demand is increasingly focused on quality and usability – renovated prime apartments, small-scale developments in core districts, and hybrid concepts such as serviced apartments or branded residences where an operator can genuinely differentiate the experience,” he adds.