Wealth presents possibilities. Dedication discerns opportunities.

In this PERSPECTIVES Special we examine how exposed European economies are, how this conflict differs from the 2022 energy crisis, and what this means for markets and policy. We present our latest scenarios and address the implications for investors as Europe navigates increasingly challenging crosswinds.

Oil prices will remain volatile as long as the outcome of the Middle East conflict is unclear, says Dr Jacky Tang, the Private Bank’s emerging markets CIO. “The best way to frame oil right now is that we are in a market dominated by headlines, but not by conviction."

In this PERSPECTIVES Special, we explore how the Hormuz-specific conflict with Iran has become a defining macro shock, disrupting global energy flows, lifting inflation risks, and reshaping cross asset and regional market dynamics, with the US relatively insulated but still exposed to higher prices and tighter financial conditions.

As the opening quarter of 2026 draws to a close, currency markets have gone through a clear regime shift. In this FX Viewpoint, we assess how these shifting macro and geopolitical forces may shape currency markets over the next twelve months. Learn more.

This PERSPECTIVES Special examines how Beijing is prioritising risk control, technological upgrading and productivity gains, while keeping demand support targeted and measured. We assess the implications for growth, inflation and policy transmission, and outline where investors should expect greater dispersion across asset classes and sectors – highlighting the opportunities most closely aligned with China’s evolving strategic priorities.